What can history tell us about the impact of local elections on general elections? : Left Foot Forward


Throughout the day political analysis will focus on what the local election result say or mean ahead of the General Election on 8th June.

Left Foot Forward goes back in time to establish what happened in those local elections held just before a General Election. All the figures cited are from a House of Commons Library briefing published in April and the caveat must be added that local elections held in one year are not necessarily being fought in the same areas as previous years.

Most recently, in 2014, a year before David Cameron secured a surprise Conservative majority in the House of Commons, local elections were held on the same day as elections to the European Parliament. That said, the council elections saw Labour on 31% of the vote, with the Conservatives on 30% and the Lib Dems on 11%.

Fast forward to 2015, and the General Election…

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